Bitcoin price prediction 2026/2027 - 2030

How much will Bitcoin be worth? The talk of the town when the price is on the rise. In this article, we'll walk you through the predictions of various analysts. Just a quick disclaimer: no one has a crystal ball, and there's no guarantee that these predictions will come true. Only invest what you can afford to lose.

Bitcoin price prediction for the short-term

Updated on: June 26, 2026

Bitcoin has once again fallen below the important level of $60,000. As a result, tension across the crypto market is rising quickly. Many investors are now wondering whether this is simply a temporary pullback or the start of a significantly deeper correction.

Traders on Polymarket are increasingly preparing for the possibility of lower prices. The probability that Bitcoin will touch $50,000 at some point in 2026 is currently around 65%. Expectations of a drop toward $55,000 have also increased sharply.

Why is Bitcoin falling so sharply?

One of the main reasons behind the decline appears to be the growing concern surrounding Strategy, Michael Saylor’s company. Its share price has come under severe pressure, leading investors to worry that Strategy could eventually be forced to sell more Bitcoin if its financial position deteriorates further.

Those concerns intensified after Strategy previously sold 32 Bitcoin. It was only a small amount compared with the company’s total holdings, but the transaction still challenged Michael Saylor’s well known narrative that the company would never sell its Bitcoin.

Strategy is also sitting on a substantial unrealised loss at the current Bitcoin price. The further BTC falls, the larger this paper loss becomes and the more concerned investors are likely to become.

The broader economic environment is not helping either. Markets are pricing in fewer interest rate cuts and are paying more attention to the possibility of future rate increases. Some investors also believe the weakness fits into Bitcoin’s familiar four year market cycle.

Polymarket traders expect further downside

The estimated probability of another major decline has risen considerably on Polymarket. Traders currently give Bitcoin a chance of approximately 63% of falling to $50,000 this year. This suggests that the market no longer views a deeper correction as a remote possibility.

However, that does not mean a crash is guaranteed. Prediction markets can move rapidly alongside investor sentiment. A strong Bitcoin recovery over the coming days could cause these probabilities to fall again just as quickly.

What is clear is that confidence remains weak. As long as Bitcoin continues trading below or close to $60,000, many traders will keep focusing on lower targets such as $55,000 and $50,000.

Some analysts are even watching $42,000

Several analysts are preparing for an even larger decline. Arthur Hayes believes Bitcoin could potentially form a bottom near $40,000 within the next six months. Chinese miner Jiang Zhuoer has also suggested that there may still be significant room for further losses.

Jiang believes Bitcoin could eventually reach a bottom between $42,000 and $44,000 later this year. His analysis partly focuses on market sentiment surrounding Strategy, Michael Saylor’s company that holds a considerable amount of Bitcoin.

According to Jiang, current conditions show similarities to periods seen during the previous bear market. In 2022, Bitcoin did not reach its final bottom until several months after comparable warning signs first appeared. He therefore believes that a bottom during the fourth quarter of 2026 is possible.

Coinbase CEO highlights the four year cycle

The possibility of a deeper decline received additional attention following a post on X about Bitcoin’s well known four year cycle. The post argued that Bitcoin suffered major declines near the end of previous cycles, including in 2014, 2018 and 2022.

According to this theory, 2026 could mark another weak phase for Bitcoin. A new period of growth could then begin between 2027 and 2031. The cycle is frequently associated with the Bitcoin halving, an event that takes place roughly once every four years.

Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong attracted attention by responding to the post with a simple “Yep.” His comment did not include a price prediction, but many investors interpreted it as confirmation that Bitcoin continues to move according to these four year market cycles.

Which price levels matter now?

Bitcoin’s first major support area is currently located between $58,000 and $60,000. If BTC manages to remain above this zone or quickly recover it, the market could begin looking toward $65,000 and potentially even $70,000 again.

However, if Bitcoin remains weak and clearly breaks below $58,000, the probability of a move toward $55,000 will increase. After that, $50,000 becomes the major psychological level that many traders will be watching closely.

The coming weeks could therefore be crucial for Bitcoin’s next major move. A further crash is far from certain, but the risk of a deeper correction has clearly increased.

Bitcoin price prediction for the long-term

What can you expect from Bitcoin in the future? Below, you’ll find a detailed bullish, bearish, and neutral scenario for both the short and long term. Choose the scenario that fits your outlook. This scenario is a simulation based on assumptions and does not constitute advice or guarantees.

With this tool, you can estimate how Bitcoin’s price might evolve. The calculations are based on the current market price and historical returns. This is purely a theoretical simulation and not a forecast of real market movements. Historical data, fees, and other external factors are not considered.

View the methodology behind this simulation.

What are the expectations for Bitcoin in 2026?

Bitcoin seems to be gaining momentum in 2026. In a neutral scenario, BTC could trade around €58,283.53 by the end of 2026, although this heavily depends on market sentiment.

What are the predictions for Bitcoin in 2027?

In a neutral scenario, the price could move toward €55,819.06 by July 2027. Whether this trend will continue remains the big question. If it does, the price could reach around €66,092.75 by December 2027.

How much will Bitcoin be worth in 2028?

In a neutral scenario, Bitcoin could theoretically reach a price of €110,737.19 by the end of 2028. By July 2029, the price could move toward €150,371.16, ending 2029 near €123,864.58.

What are the predictions for Bitcoin in 2030?

Now for the true long-term view. By mid-July 2031, the price of Bitcoin could move toward €144,094.42 in a neutral scenario. If this scenario continues, we could theoretically see a price of around €131,162.71 by December 2031.

PlanB: Bitcoin to average $500,000 in 2026 to 2028

But what if it happens even faster? Analyst PlanB is not short on optimism. Anonymity is more common in the world of Bitcoin. The only thing we know about PlanB? He is Dutch and has developed a unique price model for Bitcoin.

He calls this the stock-to-flow model of Bitcoin. The essence? Bitcoin is scarce, and that scarcity makes Bitcoin valuable. If you want the detailed explanation, you can read it below. But beware, we're delving deep into the world of Bitcoin!

So, Bitcoin is scarce. There will only be 21 million coins in the future. A fixed number of BTC enters the market every ten minutes. And that influx is roughly halved every four years. This is known as the Bitcoin halving.

Now, your economics lesson from the past comes back. What happens when demand remains the same but supply decreases? Prices rise. The stock-to-flow model is built on this principle.

Below, you can see PlanB's model along with the Bitcoin price. The dark blue band represents one standard deviation, and the light blue band represents two standard deviations. As you can see, the price has been moving within the model's range for years.

Will it continue like this? Then Bitcoin could reach 500.000 US dollars on average between 2025 and 2028. This may seem like an unthinkable scenario for some. But imagine this: ten years ago, no one expected Bitcoin to ever be worth 50,000 euros.

Need more explanation? Watch this video about the stock-to-flow model:

Our advice: only invest an amount you're willing to lose

We recommend that you invest only an amount in Bitcoin that you are willing to lose. The Bitcoin price is highly volatile, which means you can make a lot of money but also lose it. At the same time, we believe that Bitcoin is one of the most interesting investments you can make.

If you want to buy Bitcoin, do your own research. Read news articles. Look at technical analyses. Learn how Bitcoin works. Who knows, you might even help your friends and family get into Bitcoin!

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